Lombard Street Research
by
Gabriel Stein
| May 13, 1:16 PM PST
WE SUGGEST: Re-pegging of GCC currencies postponed, still likely
SUMMARY: A political determination to retain dollar pegs and a renewed
commitment to a common currency by 2010, have dampened speculation in GCC
currency revaluations. But inflation keeps accelerating. Faith in a common
currency or dollar strength as inflation panaceas is likely to prove misguided. The
case for revaluation remains as strong as ever. It will just take more time.
Read more
|
Economy News |
Northern Trust
by Asha Bangalore | May
14, 1:16 PM PST
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% in April after a 0.3% increase in March. On a year-to-year basis, the CPI increased 3.94% in April, down from a recent high of a 4.31% year-to-year increase in November 2007 (see chart 1).
The energy price index held steady in April after a 1.9% jump in March. In an environment of rising energy prices, this reading raises many questions and calls for a clarification.
Read more
Nolte Notes
by Paul Nolte | May
12, 12:30 PM PST Just
as those long ago disc jockeys (when vinyl ruled the
day) got disgusted with whatever they were playing
would drag the needle across the record, jarring the
listener who might actually like the song –
today’s financial markets may be jarring investors.
Investors were getting used to Happy Days are Here
Again playing on the radio, but then the scratch from
both Citigroup and AIG forced investors to sit up and
take note. Read more
|
Global Economics
| Country |
GDP |
CPI |
Central
Bank Rate |
Money Supply |
| |
(Y/Y%) |
(Y/Y%) |
(%) |
(Y/Y%) |
Aggregate |
| Australia |
3.9 |
4.2 |
7.25 |
21.60 |
M3 |
| Brazil |
6.21 |
4.73 |
11.25 |
17.17 |
M2 |
| Canada |
2.90 |
1.4 |
3.00 |
8.13 |
M3 |
| China |
10.6 |
8.3 |
7.47 |
17.39 |
M2 |
| France |
2.1 |
3.2 |
4.00 |
2.72 |
M3 |
| Germany |
1.8 |
2.5 |
4.00 |
6.16 |
M3 |
| India |
8.4 |
4.84 |
6.00 |
23.94 |
M3 |
| Japan |
2.0 |
1.2 |
0.50 |
3.53 |
M4 |
| Mexico |
3.8 |
4.25 |
7.50 |
13.14 |
M4 |
| Russia |
9.5 |
13.3 |
10.50 |
44.00 |
M2 |
| South Korea |
5.70 |
3.939 |
5.00 |
11.24 |
M3 |
| Spain |
3.5 |
4.5 |
4.00 |
1.98 |
M2 |
| Switzerland |
3.6 |
2.6 |
2.75 |
1.44 |
M3 |
| United Kingdom |
2.5 |
2.5 |
5.00 |
12.00 |
M4 |
| United States |
2.5 |
4.0 |
2.25 |
6.48 |
M2 |
Source: Bloomberg
(As of 04/29, Updated monthly) |