Robert E. Bronson, III

Principal, BRONSON CAPITAL MARKETS RESEARCH

Guest Contributor


ARCHIVED ARTICLES

A Forecasting Model That Integrates Multiple Business and Stock Market Cycles
Background essay which will be helpful in understanding Mr. Bronson's charts.
Updated January 13, 2008. Click the PDF icon to download:

03/03/2008  Making Money In Supercycle Bear Markets
01/17/2008  What Does This Chart Tell You...
01/09/2008  The Recession Will Ultimately Be Severe
09/27/2007  Lower Interest Rates = Lower Stock Market
07/09/2007  The 7+ Year Supercycle Recession in Auto Sales Continues
04/12/2007  Quantifying and Forecasting an Equity Risk Factor
01/24/2007  Why the Year-End Holiday Patterns Were Predictably Bearish
12/23/2006  Are You Prepared for the First of Three Perfect Storms...
12/08/2006  Supercycle Corporate Earnings and Market P/E Ratios
10/19/2006  Revised Gov't Data Confirms Our Recession Calls
09/07/2006  Summer Rally is Likely Topping, Major Decline Likely Ahead
05/17/2006  The Bearish Evidence Is Overwhelming
03/13/2006  The Stock Market P/E Ratio Continues to Decline...
12/09/2005  Much Lower Lows in 2006
10/27/2005  Core Capex Data Substantially Revised Downward
10/21/2005  The Gulf Coast Hurricanes Will Not Cause a Recession, But...
10/13/2005  Many Ideal Points to Exit the Stock Market During the Past 19 Mos.
08/27/2005  Musings on the "Everybody Knows" Technical Trend...
08/02/2005  The Conference Board and The Flattening Yield Curve
07/31/2005  Our Updated US Dollar Expectations
06/30/2005  Supercycle Bear Marketing And Period Timing
06/30/2005  So, Bunky, you thought US home equity was safe...
06/30/2005  Dispelling The Certainty Myths About Yield Curve Inversion...
06/30/2005  National Home Sales Prices Are Unseasonably Peaking
04/01/2005  Consumer & Investor Confidence Polls are Forming very Bearish...
03/28/2005  Monetary Thermometers Are Increasingly Bearish
03/23/2005  Peaking Consumer Confidence is Consistent with ... 
03/15/2005  Our Latest S&P Sector Analysis and Buy-Sell Signals
02/22/2005  Various leading economic indicators confirm the stock market top...
02/16/2005  Major Stock Market Top Further Confirmed by Latest NAHB...
02/15/2005  Predictable Peaks in Retail Sales Confirmed
02/01/2005  The False New-High Breakout and Bull Trap is Confirmed...
01/20/2005  Latest Economic Indicator Data Confirms Our Calls and Expectations
01/06/2005  Predictably, Holiday Season Sales Reports Are Very Disappointing
10/28/2004  Further Confirmation the Price of the Average American Home...
10/26/2004  Crude Oil Topping, Creating A Bush-Winning, But Ultimately Bearish
09/23/2004  How the Stock Market Reconciles the Increasing Likelihood of Bush
09/22/2004  Yes, of course, owning a home is a good family... investment, but...
09/22/2004  Summer Rally is Over
08/08/2004  Globally Synchronized Recession Coming
07/08/2004  Consumer Credit Will Eventually Deflate
07/01/2004  Latest Update of our SMECT Forecasting Model
06/29/2004  Further Capex Slowdown Confirms Our Major Stock Market Top Call
06/15/2004  Buy Again Signal In K-Cycle Summer 23-Year-Old Bond Bull Market
05/30/2004  Election Year Stock Market Patterns of Incumbency Wins & Losses
05/27/2004  What you don't hear about today's revised GDP...
05/11/2004  US Dollar Bear-Market Rally Targets Reached
04/29/2004  Latest Report on American House Prices Still Confirm Their Peak...
04/28/2004  Retail Chain Stores Sales Update: Last Gasp Over,..
04/24/2004  Business Investment is Decelerating
04/23/2004  We Expect Crude Oil Prices Will Decline for Weeks, Months...
04/02/2004  Friday's Revised Job Report Yields Another Major Sell Signal...
03/28/2004  Combined New & Existing Homes Sales Price and The Great...Bust
03/08/2004  The Market is at a Major Top - Again - On a Volatility-Adjusted Basis
02/03/2004  A "Last Gasp" Growth Rate Spike in the US Economic Rebound
01/04/2004  The latest ISM reading is probably giving a resumption sell signal
12/10/2003  Chain Store Sales & Semiconductors Update
10/31/2003  BAAC Supercycle Bear Market Resumption Call
10/14/2003  Retail Sales--Undressing the Numbers
03/21/2003  A Closer Look at ECRI's Weekly Leading Indicators

BIOGRAPHY

Bob Bronson's 38-year career in the financial services industry has spanned investment research, portfolio management, financial planning, due diligence, syndication, and consulting. At age 23, he and his partner founded an investment research firm for institutional clients and were among the first to use mainframe computers for investment research, especially in the areas of alpha-beta analysis and risk-adjusted relative strength stock selection. Since 1967, he has served as an investment strategist and consultant to various investment advisory firms and is the principal of Bronson Capital Markets Research. If you wish to read more, read his BIO.

A note to visitors ~ We do not have a website, but we maintain a private e-mail list. I'm also often asked why we provide research and forecast information for free. Since we are not looking for new business from the internet, I periodically post some of our research and forecasts in exchange for feedback from others. And since we don't publish in academic or industry trade journals, such internet discussion gives us as much peer review as we want and can conveniently assimilate at this time.

Also, the few archiving discussion boards in which I have the time to participate give us new ideas and allow us to establish and maintain intellectual property copyrights for our proprietary research, and to establish a verifiable forecasting record. At the same time, we are able to publicly document our forecasts and help others who otherwise don't have access to our work.

To be added to our private e-mail list, we only ask that you periodically provide feedback: questions, comments and/or constructive criticism to keep our research work and forecasts as error-free, readily comprehensible and topically relevant as possible. If you would like to be added, please explain, at least briefly, what you do, since our e-mailing list is categorized by the backgrounds of the recipients.

contact information

Bob Bronson | BRONSON CAPITAL MARKETS RESEARCH | Email

The opinions of FSU contributors do not necessarily reflect those of Financial Sense.


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