Pater Tenebrarum's Blog

Independent Analyst
info [at] acting-man [dot] com ()

Pater Tenebrarum is an independent analyst and has been active in the financial markets for 28 years. He writes economic and market analyses for independent research organizations and a European hedge fund consultancy. His articles are regularly published at the blog 'Acting Man'. The blog presents articles on the markets and the economy in a mixture of commentary on current events as well as on economic theory and history from an Austrian School of Economics point of view.

Berlusconi Fights for Political Survival

It appears as though the European sovereign debt crisis is about to claim its next scalp. Yesterday we noted that Silvio Berlusconi gained one vote in parliament due to a parliamentarian falling into a coma, but it seems that at the same time, resistance against Uncle Silvio's rule is growing rapidly among his former supporters.

Gold and Economic Confidence

Dividends have become a major bone of contention between gold mining managements and shareholders over the past year or so. After all, gold mines are wasting assets; from the point of view of a shareholder in a gold mining firm dividends are therefore essential.

Bernanke’s War on Savers – Are Rising Stock Prices a ‘Mark of Policy Success’?

After the fairly neutral/ bearish FOMC statement was issued yesterday, Ben Bernanke gave a press conference that helped the stock market regain its earlier vigor. In the Q&A following his prepared remarks, Bernanke inter alia indicated that 'QE3' in the form of additional mortgage backed securities purchases definitely remains on the table.

The Dilemma of a Gold Standard

In the 1960's, American economist Robert Triffin identified what later came to be known as the 'Triffin dilemma'. The Bretton Woods system, so Triffin, that had made the US dollar the world's 'reserve currency' necessitated that the US run a perennial current account deficit in order to satisfy the demand for dollars as a reserve asset (we can assume that the same idea holds for its 'gold-free' successor).

Another Round of Inflationist Measures

As we have recently noted in these pages, it was our expectation that the advice of the currency debasers that rule today's economic orthodoxy would once again prevail, despite the reams of both theoretical and empirical evidence arrayed against it.

Does Ben Bernanke Deserve a Break?

The Wall Street Journal opens its editorial pages to a wide swathe of opinions, and although it is slightly more inclined to give free market supporters a say than certain other publications, it occasionally brings us Alan Blinder, the man who up until 1989 was an admirer of Soviet central planning

Stupidity May Have Limits, But It Has No Boundary

While the euro-land economy is on the verge of imploding as a result of the sovereign debt crisis and the associated crisis of the fractionally reserved banking system, what do the eurocrats have time to debate?

The EFSF Debate Sharpens

Since it has emerged after the G-20 meeting that the euro area's political leadership is seriously considering leveraging the EFSF via the ECB or some other mechanism (frankly, the ECB seems the most likely choice), the usual cacophony of squabbling, affirmations and denials has begun to emanate from Europe.

Operation Twist and Insurers

A few more words regarding the 'Operation Twist' aftermath: we want to once again stress a point we touched upon yesterday, namely that the merry pranksters at the Fed have failed to consider a number of points when they decided to embark on their newest experiment.

Euro-Area Bank: The Troubles Aren’t Going Away

We recently mentioned that the balance sheets of the three biggest French banks amount to some 250% of French GDP. It should be noted in this context that the entire French banking system holds assets worth 400% of France's GDP (at least that is the stated book value of said assets, which is probably somewhat dubious).

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