Pater Tenebrarum's Blog

Independent Analyst
info [at] acting-man [dot] com ()

Pater Tenebrarum is an independent analyst and has been active in the financial markets for 28 years. He writes economic and market analyses for independent research organizations and a European hedge fund consultancy. His articles are regularly published at the blog 'Acting Man'. The blog presents articles on the markets and the economy in a mixture of commentary on current events as well as on economic theory and history from an Austrian School of Economics point of view.

The “Yet-to-be-Named” Real Estate Bubble

The country is spending more than it makes, to the tune of over $1 trillion per year for the last four years and the foreseeable future. Households are spending more to keep up a lifestyle supported by borrowed money.

Real Estate Advance Indicators

Most of the commonly used real estate indicators are "interesting" but what do they actually tell you? Nationwide data such as new and existing home sales combine unrelated market conditions.

Euro Area GDP Data – Bad, But Describing the Past

On Thursday we were inundated with GDP data from European countries, all of which were apparently 'weaker than expected'. We once again have to ask who exactly is doing all this 'expecting'?.

The Money Cranks Are Loose

There must be a nest in the UK somewhere – apparently the country is a breeding ground for monetary cranks.

Euro Area PMI – Germany Pulls Ahead, France Is a Mess

The final euro area PMI data have been released by Markit, following on the heels of a number of individual country PMI releases.

The ECB Worries About Competition from Bitcoins

Here is another one from the 'you couldn't make this up' department (the ECB is a rich fount of those). The ECB is apparently worried that the digital currency bitcoins could ruin the reputation of central banks.

Investors, Are They Good for the Future of Real Estate?

If you like real estate, India is the place. There are probably more households here with no homes than the entire population of the United States, with a birth rate that would guarantee an endless wave of "household formation".

Andy Xie on Why Money Can’t Buy Growth

Ludwig von Mises stressed that the 'impoverishment created by a boom' does not necessarily mean that a boom leads to an overall loss of wealth.

Central Planners: Humility and Hubris

There are two types of Fed bureaucrats at present – a small minority that stresses its 'humility' – for example Kansas City Fed president Esther George, who we suspect will be inclined to follow in Thomas Hoenig's footsteps and come down on the cautious/hawkish side of the debate...

Draghi’s “Battle With the Markets”

With the “battle against the markets” seemingly won, Draghi could now “afford” not to cut his almost non-existent benchmark rate even further toward non-existence. Instead, he could now “keep some of his powder dry”, just in case those unruly markets were to pipe up again.

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