Clif Droke's Contributions

High consumer prices continue to plague the U.S. economy but will be dealt with beginning in 2012 by the deflationary long wave cycle.

With the 6-year cycle price peak already in place, gold is set to continue its secular bull market as the economic down cycle accelerates.

The important 6-year cycle is scheduled to peak in just one month from now and will have a profound impact on the financial market in the months that follow. In this article we’ll examine how the 6-year cycle influences the financial market outlook in its relationship to the longer-term cycles.

Despite the undue attention that has been paid to the chimera of inflation this year, it should be clear by now that deflation is the far greater structural problem. In this commentary we examine how gold tends to perform under severe deflationary pressure.

Long wave and cycle expert David Knox Barker shares his thoughs on what he sees ahead for the United States and the emerging markets in terms of the inflation/deflation scenario. He also discussed the debt crisis, China, and the oil price outlook among other topics of interest. What follows is the transcript of that interview.

In light of the impressive equities market rally from 2009 through 2011, some are wondering if perhaps the economic long wave has bottomed early. In this commentary we provide a decisive answer to this question based on the clear evidence.

Here we examine the housing market for signs that the coming Kress Cycle Tsunami is still on track for 2012-2014. We also look at the gold cycles for 2011.

Here we examine the intermediate-term outlook for the second half of 2011 based on an analysis of the yearly Kress Cycles.

The year 2011 to date has seen its share of ups and downs in the financial market, yet nothing like the volatility of 2010 has made its appearance. With an important long-term yearly cycle scheduled to peak in just a few months, this would be a good time to look ahead as we try to discern what the balance of the year will bring.

After last week's silver crash, investors should re-evaluate the outlook for inflation. In this article we take a look at how the long-term deflationary cycle is still a force to be reckoned with in the coming years.

Fed Chairman Bernanke continues to downplay the impact the Fed’s loose money policy could be having on commodity and retail price inflation. The problem is that Bernanke refuses to see what everyone else can clearly see, namely the fact that the Fed’s excessively loose money policy is driving up the cost of living for millions.

Silver has stolen the spotlight among investors in recent days after surging nearly $50/oz. Lost in all the commotion, however, are the wildly disparate rumors accompanying silver’s rally. In this article we’ll discover why financial news gossip can be dangerous.

Using the longer-term cycles, the outlook for gold and silver in a deflationary environment is actually much better than investors realize.

Most of the debate over the rising cost of food and fuel has centered around its potential inflationary impact on the economy. What many observers seem to be missing is that within the context of the long-wave cycle, a rising oil price is actually deflationary and can be devastating to the economic outlook. In this commentary we’ll see how deflation is the real threat to the economic recovery.

The last few weeks has seen a startling rise in fuel and food prices. This has been a key contributor to the political and economic instability overseas; it’s also paving the way for an even bigger crisis for the U.S. and the world economy by 2012.

A belief embraced by nearly everyone is that government is capable of knowing best how to regulate the financial system. The absurdity of this becomes apparent when you look at the government’s own fiscal condition. It also begs the question as to why an entity that has proven itself incapable of managing its own financial affairs should be entrusted with the oversight of the private sector’s finances.

A situation is developing the global markets which threatens to undo the recovery of the past two years. The price spikes in fuel and especially agriculture prices is the Achilles’ heel of the recovery and may well serve as its death knell before the year is through.

A disturbing special report from a leading cycle analyst discusses the implications for a revolution in the United States by 2014. Here's what it might mean for the economy, the stock market, gold and your lifestyle.

The real estate bear market is a prime indication that deflation is the dominant theme in the U.S. economy and will be for at least a few more years.

Many observers question if the Fed is taking the recovery too far, too fast. Here we'll discuss Bernanke's misguided attack on lowering employment. We'll also examine the link between China's stock market and the gold price.