Jeff Rubin's Contributions

Without Growth, There’s Only One Ending for Euro Debt Crisis

European voters are rejecting further fiscal restraint, showing the door over the weekend to former austerity-imposing politicians in Greece and France. In a similar spirit, European Central Bank President Mario Draghi is now calling for a “growth pact” to replace the “fiscal pact” demanded by Angela Merkel’s government in Germany.

Chilly Reception Awaits U.S. Energy Companies in Canada

On the same day the Obama Administration put the kibosh on the Keystone XL pipeline, two engineering contracts totaling $12.2 billion were awarded to two U.S. companies for work in the Alberta oil sands. One included a $750 million contract to a Chicago-based company for work on Exxon’s huge Kearl Oil Sands project, one of the largest it has anywhere in the world.

No Way to Hold Eurozone Together

As that option is politically rejected, bond yields on Italian and Spanish debt will once again rise to thresholds their governments simply can’t afford to pay. Unless the European Central Bank is going to engage its own form of quantitative easing and start printing billions of euros to buy up long dated Italian and Spanish bonds, the end is in sight for the European Monetary Union as we know it.

U.S. Treasuries No Sanctuary from Europe’s Debt Problems

Record low interest rates and record high debt levels are a marriage that history tells us won’t last long. This is a lesson European bondholders have already learned. And it is one that will likely unfold in the U.S. Treasuries market, the supposedly safe haven from the panic gripping European bond markets these days.

WTI-Brent Spread Costing Canadian Producers Over $1 Billion a Month

Facing growing political and environmental opposition in the U.S. to the proposed Keystone XL pipeline, Canada’s landlocked options for exporting its oil have never appeared more costly.

Will an Oil-Driven Misery Index Claim Another President?

What U.S. presidents seeking re-election fear most is the wrath of a rising misery index. And nothing brings more misery to the world’s largest oil consuming economy than high oil prices.

Peak Oil Is About Price, Not Supply

Heading down to Washington to speak at the Association for Peak Oil-USA‘s Truth in Energy conference on Nov. 2, I sense a general malaise within the peak oil movement.

Another Bailout for the Banks?

You might have thought things had changed in world financial markets since the U.S. subprime mortgage disaster. After all, we were told at the time that if taxpayers didn’t open their wallets and bail out the banks, we could face a complete meltdown of the global financial system and an economic fate rivaling the Great Depression.

Governments Powerless to Prevent Another Recession

The more you hear about the extraordinary efforts that governments around the world are taking to promote economic growth, the less confident you can be in the result.

Is Gold a Safe Haven from a Greek Default?

When virtually every global financial institution is exposed to one other in today’s world of free flowing capital markets, where do you hide when bankrupt borrowers like Greece default?

Where is Global Growth Without the U.S., Europe, and Japan?

It is getting harder and harder to see where tomorrow’s global growth will be coming from. Job creation in the U.S. has come to a screeching halt. Growth in the Eurozone has done the same. And a still irradiating Japanese economy continues to stagnate, while an emerging energy crisis has suddenly sparked plans to start off-shoring manufacturing.

Real Downgrade Is When China Dumps Their Treasury Holdings

It is not that difficult to discover who is the most concerned about Standard & Poor’s recent downgrade of the United States’ coveted AAA credit rating.

Conservation Replaces Nuclear Power in Japan

Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan was recently quoted as seeing the country as a nuclear-free nation. But unlike similar pronouncements from Germany, which pledges to be nuclear-free by 2022, Japan may become nuclear free literally within a year.

Federal Reserve Board Can’t Keep Long Bond Yields From Rising

Even though the world economy is drowning in government debt, borrowing rates remained chained to record low rate setting by the G7 central banks.

World Oil Markets Face Production Shortfall in Second Half

The International Energy Agency may not have a solution but no one can accuse them of no longer understanding the gravity of the problem.

Why Is the IEA Tapping Strategic Reserves?

Just why did the United States and the International Energy Agency decide to release 60 million barrels of oil next month from their strategic petroleum reserves?

BP Report Shows Economic Growth Still Dependent on Oil

The relationship between energy and global economic growth has never been more clear than in BP’s World Energy Statistical Review for 2010. No sooner had the global economy shook off the shackles from the last recession than energy demand exploded.

Forget OPEC: Russia Is Key

However the cold war being fought between Saudi Arabia and Iran plays out at this week’s OPEC meetings, oil consumers shouldn’t take any subsequent pledges of increased cartel production too seriously.

China, Not U.S., Key to Global Oil Demand

What’s more important to world oil demand- gasoline prices in the U.S. that are nearly $4 a gallon, or power rationing in China?

Are China’s Factories Running out of Power?

Why has Global Sticks , a manufacturer of wooden ice cream sticks, moving from Dalian, China to Thunder Bay, Ontario?

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