Jeffrey D Saut's Contributions

Jeffrey Saut: Forget the Fed, Long-Term Bull Market Driven by "American Industrial Renaissance"

Jeffrey Saut, Chief Investment Strategist for Raymond James, explains how those citing Fed liquidity as the only driver of U.S. stocks are failing to recognize a much larger and unstoppable trend: an “American industrial renaissance.”

Jeffrey Saut: We Are Still in a Secular Bull Market and Still Climbing a Wall of Worry

Mar 20 – Jim welcomes back Jeffrey D. Saut, Chief Investment Strategist at Raymond James Financial Inc. Jeff and Jim cover the markets and the economy, and Jeff makes the point that most people are overly focused on the worrisome...

Tinker to Evers to Chance

Last week I was inundated with questions from the media about why the rise in our interest rates, and the Fed’s “tapering” announcements, had roiled the world’s markets. After stating the Federal Reserve should likely only be concerned with...

Bear Raids and Sell Signals, Oh My!

I should have guessed that something was wrong when I checked into the Langham Hotel last Thursday only to be told by the valet, “There is a bear on the loose in the neighborhood so watch out.” At first I didn’t believe him, but when I turned the TV on there it was...

Jeffrey Saut: Expect a Grand Political Bargain Before the Fall Election

Jan 14 – Jim welcomes back Jeffrey Saut, Chief Investment Strategist at Raymond James Financial Inc. Jeff and Jim discuss the year ahead in the markets and the economy. Jeff sees some form of a grand political bargain this year before...

Jeffrey Saut: Portfolio Managers Still in the “Disbelief Phase” of This Bull Market

Nov 21 – Jim welcomes back Jeffrey D. Saut, Chief Investment Strategist at Raymond James Financial Inc. Jeff points out in his meetings with investment professionals that he still sees a lot of disbelief in this market. In his estimation, we are not yet...

Permabull?

A permabull is defined as somebody who is always upbeat about the future direction of the stock market and the economy. Recently I have been called a permabull by certain members of the media, which may be true since March of 2009, but...

Jeffrey Saut: We Are Halfway Through the Market Correction

Sep 6 – Jim welcomes back Jeffrey Saut, Chief Investment Strategist at Raymond James Financial Inc. Jeff believes we are approximately halfway through the current market correction, but the market will be higher by year’s end.

Random Thoughts in the Summer Doldrums

On October 10, 2008, with the S&P 500 (SPX/1663.50) at 839.80, the bottoming process began when 92.6% of all stocks traded on the NYSE made new annual lows. That’s a six standard deviation event, which is supposed to occur only twice in a lifetime.

Dog Days, Storms, and Market Shifts

The phrase “Dog Days” refers to the sultry days of summer. In the Northern Hemisphere, the Dog Days of summer are most commonly experienced in the months of July and August, which typically experience the warmest summer temperatures of the year.

The One Chip Rule

Back in the early 1970s I met one of my mentors. His name was Jimmy and back then he had been a professional gambler for more than 30 years.

Jeff Saut: The Market Is Overbought – Raise Some Cash

Jul 25 – Jim welcomes back Jeffrey Saut, Chief Investment Strategist at Raymond James Financial Inc. Jeff has been constructive on equities up until very recently. He now sees the market as overbought and is currently raising cash.

Rosebud

To me, “Rosebud” represents the emblem of hope, security, and innocence that Charles Kane lost when he was torn away from his family as a child. Similarly, the equity markets have begun to “feel” like they have lost their hope and security over the past few weeks.

Welcome Back, Mr. Bond

“We’ve been expecting you Mr. Bond.” The phrase is itself a variant and joins the phrase “Play it again Sam” as a phrase attributed to a film or TV series.

The Game of Risk

Clearly, Warren Buffet understands “management of risk” concept for he too has learned when to “play hard” and when not to “play.”

Thinking on the Margin

I think a lot about thinking in an attempt to improve my ability to make good decisions. I also work hard to avoid linear thinking, which tends to extend present conditions “linearly” into the future.

Jeffrey Saut: If This is a New Secular Bull Market, We Have Years Left to Run

May 10 – Jim is pleased to welcome Jeffrey Saut, Managing Director of Research at Raymond James Financial. Jeff mentions that many investment managers and other professionals are feeling “performance pressures” from having missed...

Jeffrey Saut: This Is the Most Hated Stock Market Rally in Half a Century

Mar 28 – Jim is pleased to welcome back Jeffrey Saut, Managing Director of Research at Raymond James Financial. Jeff believes we have started a new secular bull market, but calls the stock market advance the “most hated rally in half a century”.

Jeffrey Saut: Investors Have Never Learned to Manage Risk

Jan 24 – Jim welcomes back Jeffrey Saut, Managing Director of Research at Raymond James Financial. Jeff sees the main problem for most investors is never having learned to manage risk, as they took big losses in both 2000 and 2007.

Jeff Saut: This Is Not 1987−The Difference Is Valuations

Oct 25 – Jim welcomes Jeffrey Saut, Managing Director of Research at Raymond James Financial Inc. Jeff believes that valuations are much better today than in the crash year of 1987 and that March 2009 marked the low in this market cycle.

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