John Kosar CMT's Contributions

Technician John Kosar: Market Way Too Complacent – Don’t Chase New Highs

Aug 20 – Jim welcomes back John Kosar CMT, Director of Research at Asbury Research. John is currently looking for a market pull-back in the 4-7% range. He sees a fat and happy market, with the VIX stuck around 12 for many weeks.

John Kosar: Early Signs of Global Growth – Fears of Deflation Lessening

Jun 11 – Jim welcomes back John Kosar CMT, Director of Research at Asbury Research. In the S&P 500 Index, John sees it as up against resistance and is looking for a pullback before it advances through resistance levels.

John Kosar: We’re at the Top of a Trading Range – Market Vulnerable to a Pull-Back

Apr 16 – Jim welcomes back John Kosar CMT, Director of Research at Asbury Research LLC. John believes we are vulnerable to a pullback near term, as momentum is stretched and the market is up against overhead resistance. John is more...

Technician John Kosar: We Are Breaking 2009 Uptrends Both Here and Overseas

Jan 23 – Jim welcomes back John Kosar CMT, Director of Research at Asbury Research LLC. John notes that long-term technical uptrends, dating to the beginning of the bull market in 2009 are breaking down, not just in the US but in overseas markets...

Favorable Sentiment for a 4th Quarter Rally

In today's report we display and discuss the latest investor sentiment data according to surveys of futures traders, brokerage and advisory firms, and active Registered Investment Advisors (RIAs), plus the latest money market asset flows.

Latin America: The Clouds May Be Clearing

The iShares S&P Latin America 40 Index ETF (ILF) broke out higher from 2 months of sideways price congestion, which suggests that its larger 2014 advance has resumed and targets at least an additional 4% rise to 41.60 that will remain valid above 39.05.

Oil Prices: Smart Money Skeptical At $103 Per Barrel

Crude oil prices have historically been an economic barometer that can indirectly indicate, and sometimes lead, upcoming direction in other financial asset prices. This can be seen in the periodic positive correlation between oil prices and the S&P 500 during the past decade.

Stock Market At Key Decision Point – Where to From Here?

We are at a near term decision point for the US stock market from which technology and small cap stocks must lead the next leg higher, if there is going to be one. Look for the market’s next leg higher, or a corrective decline, to begin from right here.

5 Reasons for a Q2 Decline in U.S. Interest Rates

Expected Fed tapering throughout 2014 has resulted in what seems to be a strong negative consensus by investors on the direction of long dated Treasury prices, as benchmark US interest rates rise.

John Kosar: Divergences Within the Dow, But No Bear Market on the Horizon

Apr 1 – Jim welcomes John Kosar CMT, Director of Research at Asbury Research LLC. John spent the first half of his career on the trading floor of the Chicago futures exchanges and has more than 30 years of experience and insight in...

The 2014 Gold Rally: The Real Deal, or a Flash in the Pan?

In today’s report, we display and discuss a number of different market metrics including investor asset flows, investor sentiment, relative performance, price and trend structure, and intermarket relationships in an effort to...

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