Clif Droke's Contributions

Oversold Gold Does the Trick, Bulls Get the Treat

An historic oversold technical condition for gold, coupled with shifting institutional sentiment, is changing the short-term dynamic for the metal.

Why the Fed Will Fail and the Cycles Prevail

Despite its intent to boost asset prices and restore the economy, the Federal Reserve has run into a major obstacle in achieving that goal. This obstacle is serving as a reminder that ultimately the long-term natural cycles of inflation and deflation govern the market and that intervention will usually fail.

The Jim Rogers View on Gold

The long-term and interim views on gold of world-class trader Jim Rogers jibes with the indicators. We also examine the stock market outlook along with the Fed's latest policy statement.

Goldman Sachs Strikes Again

Call it the revenge of the gold bears. Jeffrey Currie, the Goldman Sachs chief commodity analyst whose name inspires dread on all gold bugs who hear it, has made yet another bearish prediction for the gold price.

Bad News and the October Outlook

Why the magazine cover indicator tells us the October outlook is potentially turbulent. We also examine the near-term gold outlook.

The Secret Ruler of the Federal Reserve

Most investors assume the Fed is the proverbial dog that wags the tail. The truth is that the Fed's interest rate policy is dictated by something beyond its control. We also examine the stock market outlook for October as well as the short-term gold outlook.

A Shake-up for the Dow

A change in the make-up of the Dow 30 Industrial index is normally a precursor to a broadmarket correction. We also examine the new high in the New Economy Index and the short-term gold outlook.

Magazine Cover Indicator Rears Its Head

A recent series of bullish magazine covers suggests a stock market top could be in by next month based on historical patterns. Also, an update on gold and a look at equity market inflows.

The Silent Assassin of the U.S. Economy

What happens when deflation isn't allowed to completely take its course during the final stages of the 120-year cycle? We're about to find out! Plus an update on the gold market.

Gold: An Attitude Adjustment for Institutional Banks

Institutional banks have gone from extremely bearish to exceptionally bullish in their gold outlook in just a few short weeks. What this means for the near-term gold outlook.

Gold and the Return of Global Turmoil

The seeds of the next recession in 2014 have already been planted by the Fed. Investors' future expectation have already reflected this.

War on the Horizon

A key financial market barometer suggests another military intervention could be imminent. Plus an update on gold.

Fed Hits the Kill Switch

Record foreign outflows of U.S. stocks and bonds suggest the handwriting is on the wall where the Kress cycle is concerned. Why the Fed is about to "kick over the milk pail."

Tight Money Has Already Started

The Fed has already begun tightening money without actually stopping QE3. The consequences of this tightening can already be seen in the financial market. Plus, a look at the gold market.

The Great Non-Rotation

We look at the reason why investors haven't stormed back into the stock market after this year's impressive run-up in the S&P 500. We also examine the prospects for an XAU turnaround.

Why QE Hasn’t Stimulated the Economy

The Fed's loose money policy has provided banks with a balance sheet rescue, but hasn't stimulated the economy the extent the Fed would like. Here's why.

Will Stocks Ignore the Long-Term Kress Cycle?

How much longer can the Fed hold off the deflationary pressure from the 120-year Kress cycle? We discuss the answer in this commentary. Plus, current stock market condition in light of technical indicators, plus gold market update.

Russia and the Next Oil Crisis

Why rising oil prices help Russia, but ultimately harm the U.S. consumer, and how the trend will eventually culminate. We also examine the "megaphone" pattern in the S&P 500 Index along with the short-term gold outlook.

Rising Interest Rates, Gold and the Stock Market

Expect home financing activity and consumer spending to increase, not decrease, in the face of rising interest rates this summer. Here's why.

Inflation’s Shot Across the Bow

Why the spike in Treasury yields is a harbinger -- but not the start -- of a new inflationary trend once the 120-year cycle bottoms next year.

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